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Today's Storm Prediction Center Outlook - [click here]
Last Update by Bobby on 10/28/2010, 10:00 AM
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Current Advisories, Watches, Warnings and NOAA Severe Weather Notifications
- Quick Three Day Forecast
- Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind between 6 and 11 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. North wind between 7 and 11 mph.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 66. North wind between 5 and 8 mph.
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 30. Light north wind.
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 68. Calm wind becoming west between 4 and 7 mph.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
No Hazardous Weather Expected at this time...
Oct 28, 2010 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Thu Oct 28 12:44:46 UTC 2010 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic Probabilistic Tornado Graphic Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic SPC AC 281241 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0741 AM CDT THU OCT 28 2010 VALID 281300Z - 291200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... MODERATE TO STRONG WSW FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CAROLINAS AND MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS PERIOD...AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE CROSSING THE OH AND TN VLYS. THE IMPULSE SHOULD CONTINUE E OFF THE NC CST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AS LARGER SCALE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LINGERS OVER ONT AND THE LWR GRT LKS. AT THE SFC...A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTAL SURGES WILL CONSOLIDATE/ STRENGTHEN EXISTING COLD FRONTAL ZONE NOW LOCATED JUST E OF THE CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS. THE STRENGTHENED FRONT SHOULD ACCELERATE E/SE OFF THE MID AND S ATLANTIC CST TONIGHT/EARLY FRI...FINALLY SHUNTING AXIS OF SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE /WITH PW AOA 1.75 INCHES/ OFF THE CST. ...SOUTHEAST WEAKLY CONFLUENT PREFRONTAL MOIST SWLY FLOW LIKELY WILL SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF BROKEN BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORMS OVER CNTRL/ERN PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS TODAY...WHERE DEEP FLOW REMAINS SUFFICIENT TO FOSTER STORM ORGANIZATION/LONGEVITY. FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK OVER THE REGION. BUT JUXTAPOSITION OF HIGH PW AXIS WITH MODERATELY STRONG DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW MAY FOSTER SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS WITH A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR WIND GUSTS IN AREAS OF STRONGER LOW LVL HEATING. FARTHER S...LIGHT BACKGROUND WIND FIELD APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR SUBSTANTIAL SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS OVER THE FL PENINSULA. THESE COULD FOSTER A FEW CLUSTERS OF STRONG AFTN STORMS IN THE DEEPLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. SCTD MAINLY DIURNAL STORMS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY ALONG LEAD COLD FRONT OVER NRN FL AND S GA. ..CORFIDI/GRAMS.. 10/28/2010 NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 1359Z (9:59AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
Experimental Enhanced Resolution Thunderstorm Graphic valid from 12Z to 16Z Experimental Enhanced Resolution Thunderstorm Graphic valid from 16Z to 20Z Experimental Enhanced Resolution Thunderstorm Graphic valid from 20Z to 0Z Note: The experimental enhanced resolution thunder probabilities take into account both the expected areal coverage and probability for thunder to occur. Therefore, a 40% probability means that given similar environmental conditions, thunder would be observed at any one location (in either a county or city) within the 40% thunder probability area four times out of ten, or 40% of the time. Note: The experimental enhanced resolution thunderstorm outlooks resumed public access on March 1, 2010. Please click here for a description of the revised outlook product. Please click here for the Product Description Document (PDD).
Public comment period has ended on February 5, 2010. After analysis of the responses a decision will be made by May 15, 2010 on how to proceed.
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Visit the National Hurricane Center for updated information.This Hurricane Season has been a welcome bust for the Atlantic and Caribbean Basins.
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